2024 Tony Nominations Predictions

Better late than never. Here are our predicts on who is going to hear their name Tuesday morning when Nominations are announced. Who is a shoo-in and who is a dark horse for the 2024 Tony Nominations? Read to find out.

Last Updated: Monday, April 29th, 2024.
Tony Award for Best Musical
Shoo-Ins
Illinoise
The Outsiders
Suffs
On the Bubble
Lempicka
Hell’s Kitchen
Here Lies Love
Dark Horses
Days of Wine and Roses
Water for Elephants
The Notebook
Tony Award for Best Play
Shoo-Ins
Stereophonic
Mary Jane
On the Bubble
Jaja’s African Hair Braiding
Mother Play
Patriots
Prayer for the French Republic
Dark Horses
The Shark is Broken

Tony Award for Best Revival of a Musical
Shoo-Ins
Merrily We Roll Along
On the Bubble
Cabaret
The Who’s Tommy
The Wiz
Dark Horses
Gutenberg! The Musical
Spamalot
Tony Award for Best Revival of a Play
Shoo-Ins
Apropriate
Purlie Victorious
On the Bubble
An Enemy of the People
Doubt
Dark Horses
Uncle Vanya

Best Leading Actor in a Musical
Shoo-Ins
Jonathan Groff (Merrily we roll Along)
On the Bubble
Eddie Redmayne (Cabaret)
Ali Louis Bourzgui (Tommy
Brian D’arcy James (Days of Wine and Roses)
Chip Zien (Harmony)
Brody Grant (The Outsiders)
Jeremy Jordan (The Great Gatsby)
Dorian Harewood (The Notebook)
Grant Gustin (Water for Elephants)
Dark Horses
Casey Likes (Back to the Future)
Justin Guarini (Once Upon a One More Time)
Corey Cott (The Heart of Rock and Roll)
Josh Gad (Gutenberg)
Andrew Rannells (Gutenberg)

Best Leading Actress in a Musical
Shoo-Ins
Maleah Joi Moon (Hell’s Kitchen)
Maryann Plunkett (The Notebook)
On the Bubble
Kelli O’Hara (Days of Wine and Roses)
Eden Espinosa (Lempicka)
Shaina Taub (Suffs)
Eva Noblezada (The Great Gatsby)
Dark Horses
Arielle Jacobs (Here Lies Love)
Gayle Rankin (Cabaret)
Nichelle Lewis(The Wiz)

Best Leading Actor in a Play
Shoo-Ins
Jeremy Strong (An Enemy of the People)
Leslie Odom, Jr. (Purlie Victorious)
On the Bubble
Michael Stuhlbarg (Patriots)
Liev Schreiber (Doubt)
Dark Horses
Dally DeVito (I Need That)
Best Leading Actress in a Play
Shoo-Ins
Sarah Paulson (Apropriate)
On the Bubble
Rachel McAdams (Mary Jane)
Betsy Aidem (Prayer for the French Republic)
Jessica Lange (Mother Play)
Amy Ryan (Doubt)
Dark Horses

Best Director of a Musical
Shoo-Ins
Maria Friedman (Merrily We Roll Along)
On the Bubble
Alex Timbers (Here Lies Love)
Danya Taymor (The Outsiders)
Leigh Silverman (Suffs)
Jessica Stone (Water for Elephants)
Dark Horses
Des McAnuff (Tommy)
Justin Peck (Illinoise)
Rachel Chavkin (Lempicka)
Rebecca Frecknall (Cabaret)
Michael Greif (Days of Wine and Roses)
Michael Greif (Hell’s Kitchen)
Best Director of a Play
Shoo-Ins
Daniel Aukin (Stereophonic)
On the Bubble
Whitney White (Jaja’s African Hair Braiding)
Sam Gold (An Enemy of the People)
Lila Neugebauer (Appropriate)
Anne Kauffman (Mary Jane)
David Cromer (Prayer for the French Republic)
Kenny Leon (Purlie Victorious)
Dark Horses
Tina Landau (Mother Play)
Rupert Goold (Patriots)
Scott Ellis (Doubt)

Shoo-Ins
Alex Newell (Shucked)

On the Bubble
Kevin Del Aguila (Some Like It Hot)
Stark Sands (& Juliet)

Dark Horses
Kevin Cahoon (Shucked)
Mark Jacoby (A Beautiful Noise)

[/vc_column][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Featured Actress in a Musical[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
Lauren Patten (Jagged Little Pill)

On the Bubble
Celia Rose Gooding (Jagged Little Pill)
Robyn Hurder (Moulin Rouge!)
Myra Lucretia Taylor (Tina)
Dawnn Lewis (Tina)

Dark Horses
Kathryn Gallagher (Jagged Little Pill)

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[vc_row][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Featured Actor in a Play[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
David Alan Grier (A Soldier's Play)

On the Bubble
Paul Hilton (The Inheritance)
Paul Alexander Nolan (Slave Play)
Ato Blankson-Wood (Slave Play)
James Cusati-Moyer (Slave Play)
John Benjamin Hickey (The Inheritance)

Dark Horses
Michael Urie (Grand Horizons)
Sullivan Jones (Slave Play)

[/vc_column][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Featured Actress in a Play[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
Lois Smith (The Inheritance)

On the Bubble
Annie McNamara (Slave Play)
LaChanze (A Christmas Carol)
Sally Murphy (Linda Vista)
Andrea Martin (A Christmas Carol)
Priscilla Lopez (Grand Horizons)
Ashley Park (Grand Horizons)

Dark Horses
Irene Sofia Lucio (Slave Play)
Chalia La Tour (Slave Play)
Tina Benko (The Rose Tatoo)
[/vc_column][/vc_row]-->
Best Book of a Musical
Shoo-Ins
Suffs
On the Bubble
Illinoise
The Outsiders
Lempicka
Water for Elephants
Dark Horses
Hell’s Kitchen
Days of Wine and Roses
Best Original Music
Shoo-Ins
Suffs
Stereophonic
On the Bubble
The Outsiders
Lempicka
Here Lies Love
The Notebook
Dark Horses
Harmony

Best Choreography
Shoo-Ins
Illinoise
Hell’s Kitchen
On the Bubble
Water for Elephants
Cabaret
Tommy
Dark Horses
Here Lies Love
Once Upon a One More Time
The Heart of Rock and Roll
Lempicka
Best Orchestrations
Shoo-Ins
Suffs
On the Bubble
Hell’s Kitchen
Here Lies Love
The Outsiders
Merrily
Stereophonic
Dark Horses
The Heart of Rock and Roll
Water for Elephants

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Shoo-Ins
Cabaret
Here Lies Love
On the Bubble
Back to the Future
Illinose
Dark Horses
Merrily We Roll Along
Guttenberg
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Shoo-Ins
Stereophonic
On the Bubble
Peter Pan Goes Wrong
Ain't No Mo'
Fat Ham
Leopoldstadt
A Doll's House
Death of a Salesman
Ohio State Murders
The Piano Lesson
Topdog/Underdog

Dark Horses
Between Riverside and Crazy
Cost of Living
Good Night, Oscar
The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window

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[vc_row][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Costume Design of a Musical[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
Some Like It Hot
New York, New York

On the Bubble
Shucked
Camelot
& Juliet
Bad Cinderella
Parade

Dark Horses
KPOP
1776
Sweeney Todd

[/vc_column][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Costume Design of a Play[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
Leopoldstadt

On the Bubble
Life of Pi
Ain't No Mo'
Fat Ham
Peter Pan Goes Wrong
Topdog/Underdog

Dark Horses
The Piano Lesson
Death of a Salesman

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[vc_row][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Lighting Design of a Musical[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
New York, New York

On the Bubble
Sweeney Todd
Parade
Dancin'
& Juliet
A Beautiful Noise
Some Like It Hot

Dark Horses
KPOP
Shucked
Kimberly Akimbo

[/vc_column][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Lighting Design of a Play[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
Life of Pi

On the Bubble
A Christmas Carol
Leopoldstadt
Ohio State Murders
Prima Facie
The Piano Lesson
A Doll's House
Death of a Salesman

Dark Horses
Fat Ham
Good Night, Oscar
The Collaboration

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[vc_row][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Sound Design of a Musical[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
New York, New York

On the Bubble
Some Like It Hot
& Juliet
Kimberly Akimbo
Shucked
Parade
Into The Woods

Dark Horses
Sweeney Todd
Almost Famous

[/vc_column][vc_column width="1/2"][heading header_type="h2" header_weight="black" header_align="left" header_underline="no-bordered-header"]Best Sound Design of a Play[/heading]

Shoo-Ins
Life of Pi

On the Bubble
A Christmas Carol
A Doll's House
Fat Ham
Ain't No Mo'
Ohio State Murders
Good Night, Oscar

Dark Horses
Leopoldstadt
The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window -->

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